Chicago Real Estate is Seeing a Lot of Change

There are new buildings and developments going up, large companies moving back downtown, and an increased desire to live near the city center. For all those who are interested in investing in Chicago real estate – there are always opportunities when the market is hot, says Hirsh Mohindra. Being the third largest city in the country by population, Chicago is a key national market that itself accounts for huge growth potential in residential and commercial real estate sectors. The launch of many new startups in recent months has ensured the availability of plenty of resources to rent or sell Real Estate. No wonder, the market has witnessed huge investment in the sector, and why not? Investors are betting big on Chicago’s increased growth and sustained demand to drive real estate prices higher.

You don’t have to be an expert to see this coming, says Hirsh Mohindra. Looking at market trends real estate technology and listing companies are seeing increased funding and a number of listings on their platforms. The digitalization of the real estate marketplace has opened up accessibility for potential buyers – and empowers buyers with more information on the housing markets.

Its typically large commercial transactions that get a lot of attention, but the residential housing market is balancing itself well, says Hirsh Mohindra. The residential sector has most recently been a sellers’ market, however recent trends indicate that the market is in significant favor of buyers in some markets as well. There is an upward trend in inventory that allows options for buyers and also kind of creates competition among sellers.

The other huge plus for the buyers’ is low mortgage rates that provide home-ownership options at more affordable rates.  Currently, residential housing mortgage rates are hovering around 4% for a fixed 30 years,  The market has not seen reasonable rates at this level for quite some time. Lower property prices, an increase in the number of properties for sale, and low mortgage rates all contribute towards a buyers’ market as well.   Chicago being a large city and having a large geographic footprint also notices that various parts of the city are seeing higher growth due to limited inventory, and other parts where buyers can find deals in light of an oversupply of inventory.  So much research must be done on a neighborhood by neighborhood basis, says Hirsh Mohindra.

Residential Real Estate is Set to Make a Comeback

A typically profitable sector with a yearly return of 20 percent (1991-2014), the Indian real estate marketplace has seen a slowdown in the last few years. In order to see growth in this area, there must be an increase in planned developments, says Hirsh Mohindra.

There are numerous factors that impact the real estate market, including regulation and development, and tax rates, amongst various others.  When looked at in totality today, these factors are poised to see an uptick in the real estate market today. Current forecasts after the execution of regulation and development and GST taxes specify a 6% increase in housing auctions across many cities.

The real estate development outlook of both residential as well as commercial real estate is turning optimistic now. According to a report, real estate in India will become a $1 trillion market by the year 2030. Let’s take a look at what’s making things to transform for the affirmative.

Regulation and Development Act (RERA) & Goods and Services Tax (GST)

The introduction of the RERA Act and GST confirmed to be watershed moments in the real estate segment. These structural transformations have tightened the authoritarian framework in an earlier disjointed and unorganized segment, making the path for a market that is older, consolidate, and therefore proficient of drawing sustainable development and asset.

RERA has seen positive impacts by verifying purchasers, reviewing project plans with higher scrutiny, and working to facilitate easier transactions, says Hirsh Mohindra. Though the real estate in India can still be a messy business, this is definitely a step in the right direction to make a broad improvement that could attract more investment and retail dollars in the near future.

GST as well has played a crucial role in supporting the real estate market. Similar to RERA, it injects much-needed clarity and certainty into the sector with an abridged tax structure and better governance. The GST rate cut pertinent from April 1, 2019, will further easiness the sector and help improve housing stipulate. For under edifice properties in the quality housing sector, the rate is now 5%, down from 12%, while for reasonable housing it has been brought down to just 1% from 8%. The GST Council has also done away with the Input Tax Credit system, which helped to revive buyer sentiment.

Apart from structural improvement, government incentives to both purchasers and builders have also helped turn-around in the sector. Examples consist of the boost in a typical deduction from Rs 40,000 to Rs 50,000 a complete tax refund for income up to Rs 5,00,000 and augmented reserves in the growth of infrastructure and connectivity.

Wrapping Up

With an increasing number of purchasers entitled to profit from home loan funding and current GST rates, there will be an improvement in the overall residential real estate market, says Hirsh Mohindra.

Real Estate Index Gains the Most as Auctions Volume Picks Up Speed

Latest initiate under Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act have observed a sharp increase, leading to higher auctions.

Who would have forecasted that real estate stocks would be market leaders in 2019? Many investors did not predict the real estate sector to have a good year. However, the sector has recently surged, thanks to the numerous factors impacting the broader economic market.

The once stagnant real estate sector is booming with newly planned developments, says Hirsh Mohindra. It is also worth noting that some of the equities comprising the Nifty Realty index are up significantly in 2019.  And as a result, the entire index is up considerably over the past years.

The Nifty Realty index enjoyed returns of 19% year over year making it one of the largest gainer among the broader market this calendar year. In fact, Nifty indices have increased by 6% so far in 2019. Sales penetration for the coverage world was 38% in 4QFY19 and at 5800 crores in 4QFY19. Continued solid development in pre-sales construction was noticeably present across all geographies, while lower value assets were seen increasing in distressed auctions in various geographies when assessing overall auctions volume.

Auctions volume in FY19 raised 7% over the prior year to 443 million sq.ft, point out forecaster at Kotak. The uptick in auctions has helped stagnant properties find new owners, which results in new development as improvement or a complete teardown and has been helpful in cutting back inventory. “Increased auctions has sustained a draw-down of backlog, with all-India stock dilapidated 11% YoY to ~1.23 bn sq. ft from 1.4 bn sq. ft in March 2019” says Hirsh Mohindra.

Moreover, there have been reduced foreclosures, which means that properties are moving without the delay of the legal process. Of course, there are many broader economic market forces at play, and the real estate sector is susceptible to these forces. However, things are evidently better compared to a few months back.

Moreover, it is significant noting that some of the equities in the Nifty Realty indices are up significantly in the year 2019. This has driven up their assessment and made them a bit more attractive. Returns of the Godrej properties Ltd stock has appreciated at about 41.1% in this year. Sunteck Realty Ltd also has achieved 36.81% in the year 2019 says Hirsh Mohindra. Hence, from that viewpoint, investors must continue their diligence when entering this sector.     

Blackstone seeks to raise $5B for the next Real Estate Debt Fund

The Subsidize Blackstone Real Estate Debt Tactics IV will focus on property-relevant wagers in Public and Private Debt Globally.

Blackstone Group LP is seeking $5 billion for its most recent fund that invests in real estate debt, according to an individual recognizable with the niche.
The Blackstone Real Estate Debt tactics IV fund will focus on property-related positions in civic as well as private debt worldwide, according to a financial presentation seen by Bloomberg. The pool will have an emphasis on the U.S says Hirsh Mohindra.

The company is tapping into a strong interest in private real estate debt. Last year in 2018, $26 billion was increased by funds devoted to real estate debt, on the heels of $33 billion the year earlier, according to information from Preqin.

This is not a new investment area for Blackstone, as they have made significant placements in real estate and real estate debt in the past.  Blackstone is one of the world’s leading investment firms. Blackstone creates positive economic impact and long-term value for investors, the companies they invest in, and the communities in which they work. Blackstone prides itself on having extraordinary people and flexible capital to help companies solve problems. The firm was founded in 1985 by Stephen A. Schwarzman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Peter G. Peterson, who retired as Senior Chairman in 2008.

New York-based Blackstone spokeswoman named as Paula Chirhart, refused to comment on the matter according to a report. Blackstone’s new sponsor attained an assurance of up to $100 million from the $42.7 billion Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund. And this will focus on the US market.  Administration cost will be waived for four months for the shareholders in the initial close. The pension can save as much as $500,000 with these cost savings, says Hirsh Mohindra.

Fund Amount

The fund charges a 15% fee and reaches a carried interest of 6%. It will also place a 1.25% administration fee per year on assets for at least $400 million, and 1.5% for those beneath that level.

The firm’s pool increased by about $4.8 billion in the year 2016, above an early $4 billion target, according to information accumulated by Bloomberg. That fund, Blackstone Real Estate Debt Tactics III, focused on mezzanine debt allied to institutional-grade real estate in North America and Europe, Bloomberg formerly reported. It is interesting to see industry leaders, such as Blackstone, enter this market.  It is likely a precursor of additional investment monies to follow, says Hirsh Mohindra.